Simon

Simon is internal research, not a product. It is not available to anyone outside the lab, it does not manage anyone’s money, and nothing about it is an offer or a recommendation.

The question it studies

Most systems in this space blur two jobs. Predicting what a market will do and deciding what to do about it are separate problems, with separate ways of going wrong. A system that fuses them cannot say which half failed when it loses.

Simon keeps them apart. One part states what it expects and how confident it is. Another decides what, if anything, to do with that. When the first part does not know, it says so, and the second is allowed to do nothing.

Why the lab keeps it

Simon began in April 2024, before the lab was founded, and is its longest-running research. It is where the lab’s commitment to measuring honestly is tested hardest: a system that reports its real performance, including the periods it was wrong or unsure, is uncomfortable to look at and far more useful than one that reports only its wins.

The same discipline runs through the products. Caddie marks a criterion it cannot assess instead of guessing, and publishes where its privacy vault falls short, for the same reason.

Simon is research. It does not provide investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell anything.